I can tell by posts you've made that you're itching to get one. Do you need a big bike right now? If you can hold off, the deals might get better. Transition kind of missed the boat in terms of having very few carbon frames available when the Spire first launched, and now that they're flush with inventory, the market is slow.
Personally I moved somewhere with riding to justify a bike like this, and the fun I've had since October with the bike will be worth any difference in price should there be a reduction, but if I was waiting for park season and happy on my current bike, that would be a different calculus.