mx_599 said:
hmmm, i did not know you liked the 29ers that much.
I don't think they'll take over all segments, but eventually 650b will fill the gaps that 29 can not fill. Dealers and manufacturers will be selling/building 26ers for a quite a while longer, and of course they'll want to sell these to any and everyone, but I've tried to keep up with 29ers for years, there are a lot of advantages if "going fast" is a primary concern.
Or think about it this way, you had a Mojo right? You could build up a 26 wheeled mojo as a XC race bike, light race components, and so on. It would end up a little slacker, but it would still pedal oustanding, and due to the low frame weight it would be pretty darn competative IMO. You could easily have that thing at 25lbs or so, and something like a AS-R or Blur XC would weigh what, 24.5lbs. A few pounds of difference never makes a real difference when riding, things like geometry make a bigger difference, and eventually yes, a bike does get too heavy. The point is that many AM bikes pedal "pretty damn good" these days compared to bikes of a few years back, the 3-4" 26 XC FS bikes aren't really going to pedal any better anymore. The primary advantage would be slightly (but ever so slight) lighter weight, and steeper geometry or more climbing-orientated geometry. While these could be beneficial in a race, a decent 29er hardtail makes a much bigger difference comparatively. If one had the money, a high end 29er XC FS bike could be even better, but the weight can balloon pretty fast, not that it's impossible.
If I ride my 26er, I have to pedal like mad in and out of the turns to try and keep up with the 29er guys. If I ride my 29er I coast through the turns and have fun watching the 26er guys try and pedal their a$$ off to keep up with me (either that or I have to keep hitting the brakes cause they are in front of me). This isn't due to better or worse riders, it's just what the wheels do. You add that up over time and over rocks and such and it makes a pretty huge difference.
I'd say moving into the AM catagory you don't have very many good 29er options yet, and you have to watch the travel and geometry closely because the bikes can get long and obtuse pretty fast as the travel increases. That's why 29ers will have trouble taking hold as long as we are riding crazy trails that require more travel. The question becomes (for DH riding): Are we riding trails designed for the bikes, or bikes designed for the trails? There's stuff that I ride on my DH/FR bike that I'd never want to ride on a 29er, no matter how much travel it had.
On the subject of travel, lots of 29er supports love to say how "3 of travel on a 29er is like 5" of travel on a 26er". I highly disagree with this. I'll still say that the 29er rolls through stuff faster (because it doesn't slow down as much), but 3" of travel feels like 3" of travel to me, regardless of the wheel-size. I am not as afraid of endoing or getting hung up, but you are correct that a hardtail is not a FS bike and it's going to jar you more (especially with my rigid setup).