You will likely notice no difference between 49, 50, 51.
Your present der. should work fine on a 44t ring, if it can reach the outer ring.
You can adjust the front der. to different chain lines - up to the limits of the limit screws. Guess that's why they call them "limit screws".
You should be able to determine whether your present der. will work by measuring. With the der. on the large ring, pull the der outwards so the limit screw is stopping its movement. Measure the distance between the edge of the seat post and the outer chain guide. Now back out the limit screw all the way. Repeat the measurement. If the difference between the two measurements is greater than 1.5 mm, then you can use the der with a 49mm chain line, greater than 2.5 mm you can do 50 mm....
You can get the specs from shimano.com to be sure. Anything better than alivio will work at 50. I recently picked up a new LX for 13 (shipped) from ebay. At those prices it, it hardly seems worthwhile to look at cheaper ones.