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All fat, all the time.
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Here is a fun thread...for a change :thumbsup:


Post your best guesses at what the future will bring into the fatbike community.

Giant Fat Trance
Santa Cruz Fat Blur
Fox Fat Forks
Tubeless-ready and/or UST tires
5.5" tires followed by 6" tires
Tank tracks

Should be a fun list to look back on in 5 years.
 

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+1 short wheel base

But 6" wide tires? To each their own, but I need those like I need 160mm+ suspension for trail riding! Using every modern trick in the book (thin tire casing, carbon wheels, tubeless…), 5"+ tires still are going to be heavy, no?
 

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Most mt bikes over $600 or so will probably go fat. Maybe not 4"+ but fatter than they are now to make it easier for entry riders to ride and enjoy. I don't think an additional pound or two will matter, these bikes are already tanks and the bike companies will probably save weight by touting the benefits of a rigid fork over a suspension fork. Marketing...

All of the fork manufacturers will have options for these bikes so it's not a stretch to think that we'll see a good selection for the higher end.

Full squish fat will be all over the place. Most likely not for the spandex XC crowd but otherwise I expect to see it in most other disciplines. There may not be too much in the Enduro/DH category because of the bounce factor though but I could see something like the RM Sherpa for these riders but with a 3-3.5" tire.

Tubeless will become the norm. As the major tire manufacturers really get their heads into the game we will see new rubber compounds, or maybe silicone or something like that, to help keep the weight reasonable so that a ~5" tire isn't a brick.
 

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Fat is an old idea that's come back into vogue. At some point the pendulum will swing back. I don't know what the future will be, but I hope it's not like the lumen race although it looks like it's heading that way.

At some point the market will become saturated. Production of frames and parts will drop off. Only the biggest and best will remain in business. More stuff will be made/moved off shore to compete. Things will be made lighter and less durable. It will be more about bling than substance. My uneducated guess is these are the good old days.

Of course I could be totally wrong :)
 

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aka bOb
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+1 short wheel base

But 6" wide tires? To each their own, but I need those like I need 160mm+ suspension for trail riding! Using every modern trick in the book (thin tire casing, carbon wheels, tubeless…), 5"+ tires still are going to be heavy, no?
We are talking future here why pee on my wheaties, come on man this is the lull time we need something to talk about let's not get technical;) +1 trillion on the hovertires
 

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Loser
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With all that volume you think the helium instead of air thing will finally take off.

Tubeless will become the norm with tires and rims

This fall/winter will be the turning point for fat, either more people buy and the new bikes and products continue, or everyone who wants one has one (more or less) and things level off and it remains a specialty market. Here in CT I think we are there, there were bike shops with fat bikes on the floor all winter. It has to get to a bike you ride more than just in snow for them to take off here (and everywhere south of here).
 

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is buachail foighneach me
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Someone is going to figure out a way to increase the contact patch without increasing the static tire width. It's going to be either a rim that flexes under enough weight to lengthen the contact patch, or has semirigid walls that flare out under enough weight to widen the contact patch. A built in fold in the tire could be another possible solution.
 

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The future?

4" will become the normal mtb size.

People who like to ride around in circles and not look at scenery will have a wide range of full suspension choices. This will lead to the need for lower profile tyres to eliminate bounce, so expect 650B fat rims to maintain the diameter.

There is a definite need for 6' tyres for those of us who like to ride over bogs (actually 8" too, but getting that into a format that's rideable may be difficult).

Hosiery manufacturers will have to introduce larger sizes to cater for the leg muscles required to turn such wheels.

Rohloff will still be about to introduce a 170mm hubgear.

Sturmey-Archer will have expanded the range of their 170mm hub from 3 speed to 5 speed.

Shimano will have a 18 speed hubgear, but because it can't use an input ratio of less than 1.9:1, all the extra gears are at the top end. This hub will be popular with those riders who regularly exceed 90mph on their commute.

Hover tyres will have gone out of fashion because riders don't like the hassle of getting their bikes off the ceiling, and then they will be banned by the aviation authorities after an unfortunate incident between a fatty ridden by a porn star and a Jumbo full of nuns.

17 speed cassettes will replace the 16 speed and more mechanics will lose the tips of their fingers to the razor thin cogs.

and I will still be riding my Pugsley.

Some of what I'd like to see:

Drum brakes that bolt in place of disks.

Full enclosure chaincases

Full mudguards (fenders) that are quickly detachable.

Reynolds stainless tubed frames.

190mm hubgear from Shimano or S-A.

A fat Big Dummy that breaks down into smaller parts for trail bivvies and longer trips.

And of course, the 6" tyres mentioned previously.
 

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I think most of the advances are going to be in tires. Cheaper, lighter, better performance, etc. With the advent of the Bucksaw and carbon Beargrease, I think that the "high-performance" fat bikes are already here if folks want them. I'm sure they'll keep improving the frames but it will be incremental after this.

Otherwise it's going to be going after the low-end of the market. Pugsley isn't exactly a fancy bike and is still costs 2-3x what Joe Q Public would pay for one. If a big manufacturer could come in to the $600-800 range I think that would be big. Bikes Direct is already there in force but I still don't think they are reaching the person who walks into a shop looking for a bike but not sure what they want. The next thing for fat bikes would be to sell bikes to those people.
 

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We are talking future here why pee on my wheaties, come on man this is the lull time we need something to talk about let's not get technical;) +1 trillion on the hovertires
6" tires are fathomable for big dune riding and etc... but to keep the wheelbase reasonable and spin weight down, might want to use rims with a little less diameter- maybe even 24". Cross section of a supple, uniform thin sidewall tire should still take it up close to 29". And Endo like tread... "Sand rail"... Will need a wider BB so bigger "Q" factor... but I'd ride it in the sand!!
 
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